Q1 2025 Reflections and the Impact of Trump Tariffs
As Q1
2025 comes to a close, I’d like to take this opportunity to sum up my
investment results and share some thoughts on recent market developments.
For the
first quarter, my total dividends amounted to SGD 12,000. While this figure is
somewhat disappointing, I believe it is reasonable considering that most of my
portfolio’s dividends are expected in Q2. I remain optimistic that the upcoming
quarter, especially with the boost from my bank stocks—particularly DBS—will
deliver stronger returns.
In April,
President Trump implemented new high tariffs on multiple countries, sending
ripples across the global stock markets. The Singapore Exchange (SGX) was no
exception. My portfolio, being heavily invested in SGX-listed stocks, has been
significantly affected, with valuations turning sharply negative.
In
response, I made the decision to sell several of my REIT holdings, which had
already been under pressure due to prolonged high interest rates. I saw an
opportunity to redeploy some capital into the banking sector, which I view as a
more resilient and investor-friendly space. For example, OCBC announced a
dividend payout ratio of 60% of their profits, and DBS Bank unveiled plans to
pay an additional 15 cents per share as part of their capital management
program. These moves, in my view, signal a strong commitment to rewarding
shareholders and enhancing dividend certainty.
As part
of this portfolio adjustment:
- I completely exited my
position in First REIT.
- I significantly reduced my
holdings in Mapletree Industrial Trust and Mapletree Logistics
Trust.
One
decision I do regret is not trimming my position in ESR-LOGOS REIT.
Although I considered selling, I ultimately did not have the stomach to realize
a substantial loss at the time, with the stock already down about 40% due to
high interest rates. Unfortunately, it has since declined a further 20%
following the tariff announcements. For now, I plan to hold and ride through
this difficult season, hoping the REIT continues to provide reasonable
dividends and stabilizes over time.
This is
just another chapter in my investing journey—marked by learning, adapting, and
managing emotions through market turbulence.
As Warren
Buffett famously said, "The stock market is designed to transfer money
from the impatient to the patient."
It’s normal to face tough periods, but staying focused on long-term goals and
adapting with resilience will pay off in time. Markets will always move in
cycles, but disciplined investing and patience are what turn temporary setbacks
into future gains.
Thanks
for following along my journey. Let’s stay the course and keep building towards
financial freedom, one step at a time.
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